Voter information campaigns and political accountability: Cumulative findings from a preregistered meta-analysis of coordinated trials

Thad Dunning, Guy Grossman, Macartan Humphreys, Susan D. Hyde, Craig McIntosh, Gareth Nellis, Claire L. Adida, Eric Arias, Clara Bicalho, Taylor C. Boas, Mark T. Buntaine, Simon Chauchard, Anirvan Chowdhury, Jessica Gottlieb, F. Daniel Hidalgo, Marcus Holmlund, Ryan Jablonski, Eric Kramon, Horacio Larreguy, Malte LierlJohn Marshall, Gwyneth McClendon, Marcus A. Melo, Daniel L. Nielson, Paula M. Pickering, Melina R. Platas, Pablo Querubín, Pia Raffler, Neelanjan Sircar

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

Voters may be unable to hold politicians to account if they lack basic information about their representatives’ performance. Civil society groups and international donors therefore advocate using voter information campaigns to improve democratic accountability. Yet, are these campaigns effective? Limited replication, measurement heterogeneity, and publication biases may undermine the reliability of published research. We implemented a new approach to cumulative learning, coordinating the design of seven randomized controlled trials to be fielded in six countries by independent research teams. Uncommon for multisite trials in the social sciences, we jointly preregistered a meta-analysis of results in advance of seeing the data. We find no evidence overall that typical, nonpartisan voter information campaigns shape voter behavior, although exploratory and subgroup analyses suggest conditions under which informational campaigns could be more effective. Such null estimated effects are too seldom published, yet they can be critical for scientific progress and cumulative, policy-relevant learning.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article numbereaaw2612
JournalScience Advances
Volume5
Issue number7
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 1 2019

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ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Physics and Astronomy (miscellaneous)
  • General

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Dunning, T., Grossman, G., Humphreys, M., Hyde, S. D., McIntosh, C., Nellis, G., ... Sircar, N. (2019). Voter information campaigns and political accountability: Cumulative findings from a preregistered meta-analysis of coordinated trials. Science Advances, 5(7), [eaaw2612]. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aaw2612

Voter information campaigns and political accountability : Cumulative findings from a preregistered meta-analysis of coordinated trials. / Dunning, Thad; Grossman, Guy; Humphreys, Macartan; Hyde, Susan D.; McIntosh, Craig; Nellis, Gareth; Adida, Claire L.; Arias, Eric; Bicalho, Clara; Boas, Taylor C.; Buntaine, Mark T.; Chauchard, Simon; Chowdhury, Anirvan; Gottlieb, Jessica; Daniel Hidalgo, F.; Holmlund, Marcus; Jablonski, Ryan; Kramon, Eric; Larreguy, Horacio; Lierl, Malte; Marshall, John; McClendon, Gwyneth; Melo, Marcus A.; Nielson, Daniel L.; Pickering, Paula M.; Platas, Melina R.; Querubín, Pablo; Raffler, Pia; Sircar, Neelanjan.

In: Science Advances, Vol. 5, No. 7, eaaw2612, 01.01.2019.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Dunning, T, Grossman, G, Humphreys, M, Hyde, SD, McIntosh, C, Nellis, G, Adida, CL, Arias, E, Bicalho, C, Boas, TC, Buntaine, MT, Chauchard, S, Chowdhury, A, Gottlieb, J, Daniel Hidalgo, F, Holmlund, M, Jablonski, R, Kramon, E, Larreguy, H, Lierl, M, Marshall, J, McClendon, G, Melo, MA, Nielson, DL, Pickering, PM, Platas, MR, Querubín, P, Raffler, P & Sircar, N 2019, 'Voter information campaigns and political accountability: Cumulative findings from a preregistered meta-analysis of coordinated trials', Science Advances, vol. 5, no. 7, eaaw2612. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aaw2612
Dunning, Thad ; Grossman, Guy ; Humphreys, Macartan ; Hyde, Susan D. ; McIntosh, Craig ; Nellis, Gareth ; Adida, Claire L. ; Arias, Eric ; Bicalho, Clara ; Boas, Taylor C. ; Buntaine, Mark T. ; Chauchard, Simon ; Chowdhury, Anirvan ; Gottlieb, Jessica ; Daniel Hidalgo, F. ; Holmlund, Marcus ; Jablonski, Ryan ; Kramon, Eric ; Larreguy, Horacio ; Lierl, Malte ; Marshall, John ; McClendon, Gwyneth ; Melo, Marcus A. ; Nielson, Daniel L. ; Pickering, Paula M. ; Platas, Melina R. ; Querubín, Pablo ; Raffler, Pia ; Sircar, Neelanjan. / Voter information campaigns and political accountability : Cumulative findings from a preregistered meta-analysis of coordinated trials. In: Science Advances. 2019 ; Vol. 5, No. 7.
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