Limits to predictability in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model due to atmospheric noise

Richard Kleeman, S. B. Power

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter

Abstract

A coupled-ocean atmosphere model with demonstrated skill in ENSO prediction is used to examine limits to predictability due to stochastic momentum forcing from the atmosphere. Previous estimates of predictability limits in coupled models may be overly optimistic because of the absence of realistic atmospheric noise in the intermediate atmospheric model used. It is found that unavoidable error grows rapidly with a time scale of 4 or so months. It then saturates at a level around 0.5°C for the Nino 3 region. -Authors

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationTellus, Series A
Pages529-540
Number of pages12
Volume46 A
Edition4
StatePublished - 1994

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atmosphere
ocean
El Nino-Southern Oscillation
momentum
timescale
prediction
atmospheric model

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Earth and Planetary Sciences(all)
  • Environmental Science(all)

Cite this

Kleeman, R., & Power, S. B. (1994). Limits to predictability in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model due to atmospheric noise. In Tellus, Series A (4 ed., Vol. 46 A, pp. 529-540)

Limits to predictability in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model due to atmospheric noise. / Kleeman, Richard; Power, S. B.

Tellus, Series A. Vol. 46 A 4. ed. 1994. p. 529-540.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter

Kleeman, R & Power, SB 1994, Limits to predictability in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model due to atmospheric noise. in Tellus, Series A. 4 edn, vol. 46 A, pp. 529-540.
Kleeman R, Power SB. Limits to predictability in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model due to atmospheric noise. In Tellus, Series A. 4 ed. Vol. 46 A. 1994. p. 529-540
Kleeman, Richard ; Power, S. B. / Limits to predictability in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model due to atmospheric noise. Tellus, Series A. Vol. 46 A 4. ed. 1994. pp. 529-540
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