Intervention and democracy

Bruce Bueno De Mesquita, George W. Downs

    Research output: Contribution to journalReview article

    Abstract

    Recent events have raised questions about the extent to which military intervention promotes democracy and the degree to which this depends on the nature of the intervener. We argue that traction on these issues is best obtained by focusing on the policies of the target state that have the greatest implications for the political survival of the intervening state's leader and the kind of governmental institutions in the target state that are most likely to produce them. This perspective generally - although not always - predicts that third-party military intervention in civil wars, other intra- or interstate disputes and wars will lead to little if any improvement, and all too often erosion in the trajectory of democratic development. Three hypotheses on the impact of third-party intervention by democracies, autocracies, and the United Nations are then tested and strongly supported against a counterfactual expectation of what the democratic trajectory would have been in the absence of intervention.

    Original languageEnglish (US)
    Pages (from-to)627-649
    Number of pages23
    JournalInternational Organization
    Volume60
    Issue number3
    DOIs
    StatePublished - Jul 2006

    Fingerprint

    military intervention
    democracy
    civil war
    erosion
    UNO
    leader
    event
    Trajectory
    Military intervention
    Democracy
    Civil war
    United Nations
    Erosion
    Third-party intervention
    Dispute

    ASJC Scopus subject areas

    • Sociology and Political Science
    • Political Science and International Relations
    • Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management
    • Law

    Cite this

    Bueno De Mesquita, B., & Downs, G. W. (2006). Intervention and democracy. International Organization, 60(3), 627-649. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0020818306060206

    Intervention and democracy. / Bueno De Mesquita, Bruce; Downs, George W.

    In: International Organization, Vol. 60, No. 3, 07.2006, p. 627-649.

    Research output: Contribution to journalReview article

    Bueno De Mesquita, B & Downs, GW 2006, 'Intervention and democracy', International Organization, vol. 60, no. 3, pp. 627-649. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0020818306060206
    Bueno De Mesquita, Bruce ; Downs, George W. / Intervention and democracy. In: International Organization. 2006 ; Vol. 60, No. 3. pp. 627-649.
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