Acknowledging Misspecification in Macroeconomic Theory

Lars Peter Hansen, Thomas Sargent

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

    Abstract

    We explore methods for confronting model misspecification in macroeconomics. We construct dynamic equilibria in which private agents and policy makers recognize that models are approximations. We explore two generalizations of rational expectations equilibria. In one of these equilibria, decision-makers use dynamic evolution equations that are imperfect statistical approximations, and in the other misspecification is impossible to detect even from infinite samples of time series data. In the first of these equilibria, decision rules are tailored to be robust to the allowable statistical discrepancies. Using frequency domain methods, we show that robust decision-makers treat model misspecification like time series econometricians.

    Original languageEnglish (US)
    Pages (from-to)519-535
    Number of pages17
    JournalReview of Economic Dynamics
    Volume4
    Issue number3
    DOIs
    StatePublished - Jul 2001

    Fingerprint

    Model misspecification
    Approximation
    Decision maker
    Misspecification
    Macroeconomics
    Time series data
    Frequency domain
    Rational expectations equilibrium
    Discrepancy
    Dynamic equilibrium
    Politicians
    Decision rules

    Keywords

    • model misspecification
    • monetary policy
    • rational expectations
    • Robustness

    ASJC Scopus subject areas

    • Economics and Econometrics

    Cite this

    Acknowledging Misspecification in Macroeconomic Theory. / Hansen, Lars Peter; Sargent, Thomas.

    In: Review of Economic Dynamics, Vol. 4, No. 3, 07.2001, p. 519-535.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

    Hansen, Lars Peter ; Sargent, Thomas. / Acknowledging Misspecification in Macroeconomic Theory. In: Review of Economic Dynamics. 2001 ; Vol. 4, No. 3. pp. 519-535.
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